TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a0c…66f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.11
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.72
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.25
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$103.81
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$29
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Niels McDonald vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.36
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$68.22
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Samsun: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Paul Inchauspebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
San Marino: Juan Carlos Prado vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Samsun: Colin Sinclair vs Koki Matsudabacked Colin Sinclair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumichbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Vancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dongbacked Yeon-Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$105.35
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewittbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$173.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$84.99
Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayotbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$31.27
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78%+$164.5
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandezbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$46.11
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.65
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$100.65
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$196.1
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$147.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.