UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66923fe60e81bb173f11d739a8ed7beb7de166c800f6af7665b8be52e8e64314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 14,960$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.6 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 51c | 10,391$5,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Yes | 48c | 5,788$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 52c | 5,123$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed No | 52c | 4,997$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.48 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 51c | 3,668$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.51 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 47c | 3,038$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.1 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes | 33c | 2,470$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 43c | 2,468$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.7 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 2,247$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.94 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 46c | 1,816$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 42c | 1,749$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.58 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,675$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 1,463$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.72 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Yes | 70c | 1,457$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.77 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 49c | 1,412$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.04 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 1,263$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Yes | 68c | 1,255$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed No | 52c | 964.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…cdb5backed No | 52c | 867.95$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Yes | 67c | 809.14$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.65 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 46c | 764.95$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.22 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed No | 51c | 761.81$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 48c | 669$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 33c | 623.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.91 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 584.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 32c | 569.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 55c | 549.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 532.04$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.9 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 49c | 420$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Yes | 50c | 396.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed No | 51c | 391.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 66c | 365.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Yes | 50c | 327.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked No | 19c | 281.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 51c | 269.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2e65backed No | 43c | 234.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…8d42backed Yes | 52c | 204.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Yes | 48c | 159.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 27c | 153.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…934ebacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…ce88backed No | 52c | 142.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Yes | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed No | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked No | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…58e9backed No | 49c | 110.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yes | 77c | 110.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 63c | 104$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 49c | 100.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed No | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed No | 53c | 94.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…be96backed Yes | 53c | 84.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…541fbacked No | 70c | 83.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 51c | 82.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked No | 26c | 76.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Yes | 78c | 75.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 47c | 71.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…7d85backed No | 52c | 65.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked No | 47c | 62.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Yes | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yes | 48c | 60.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…97b7backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Yes | 68c | 57.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked No | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b8…4fa4backed No | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Yes | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 27c | 50.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +86%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…8f57backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Yes | 51c | 46.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked No | 51c | 45.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed No | 49c | 43.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…1a17backed Yes | 51c | 43.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…8e66backed No | 78c | 42.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe095…1af6backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…d697backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…f41dbacked Yes | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Yes | 30c | 35.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Yes | 76c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 72c | 32.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis won
- Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Kamaru Usman win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.