TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7011…c6da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$66,147.26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102,084.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,725.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71,462.18
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$6,037.47
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,868.22
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.81
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,048.26
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.79
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.49
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33%+$1,391.89
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.75
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$1,775
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$202.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$577.38
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.67
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.94
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$106.13
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$9,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+276.3%+$25,783.7
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.1%+$828.08
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$36.6
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$117.12
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$814.44
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$345.26
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$513.87
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$172.58
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$151.05
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$288.17
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$184.8
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$89.28
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$176.43
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$279.35
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$312
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11,964.85
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$5,335
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,461.67
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.6%+$1,446.73
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.76
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$777.7
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,353.11
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$391.05
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$865.95
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$576.12
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$659.88
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$219.88
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$341.84
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$142.08
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$182.28
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$168.48
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$357.42
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+191.6%+$173.47
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$111.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.64
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.53
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15,957.69
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$493.69
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.23
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.2%+$845.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$906.49
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,825.1
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+222.6%+$3,832.94
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$986.17
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,880.8
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12,769.61
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,671Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$919.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+866.9%+$13,758.09
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$9,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,244.47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,718.74
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$933.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$241.23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,368.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+183.6%+$7,616.14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$36.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.4
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+68.4%+$1,091.57
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$722.32
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$109.86
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$447.38
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.83
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$105.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+213.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$16.46
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$337.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$25,685.38
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$47.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$34.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.7%+$1,951.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$343.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$153.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$891.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.