NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605c9d91aacb70969836c696d4666c0552b9c123fd72d7f4a2adfd337739ad14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,320,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,441,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,320,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 51c | 2,000,000$1,013,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986,674.75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Patriots | 50c | 1,993,281$1,000,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000,562.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 49c | 1,455,366$716,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716,738.57 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Seahawks | 50c | 1,200,000$597,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602,500 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Patriots | 50c | 803,217$403,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403,384.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 49c | 791,226$390,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390,613.13 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Patriots | 48c | 590,882$284,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,325.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Patriots | 49c | 414,992$202,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,696.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 51c | 345,998$176,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,539.02 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Seahawks | 51c | 255,853$129,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,966.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Seahawks | 51c | 250,050$127,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,024.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 51c | 249,999$127,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,499.69 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 50c | 242,713$121,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,401.51 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Seahawks | 50c | 218,024$109,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,012 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed Seahawks | 51c | 197,361$100,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,706.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks | 50c | 150,438$75,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,218.92 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Seahawks | 49c | 130,000$63,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,299.98 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…79e8backed Seahawks | 50c | 120,000$60,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Patriots | 50c | 103,263$51,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,173.95 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Patriots | 50c | 100,049$49,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,823.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Seahawks | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Seahawks | 51c | 98,039$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,039.22 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seahawks | 50c | 93,423$46,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,445.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Patriots | 49c | 93,420$45,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,877.8 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Patriots | 33c | 92,186$30,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,021.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 49c | 80,000$39,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,399.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Patriots | 50c | 67,500$33,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,557.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Seahawks | 68c | 64,261$43,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,563.58 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Patriots | 50c | 62,669$31,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,334.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seahawks | 77c | 52,701$40,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,101.45 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Patriots | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Patriots | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Patriots | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Seahawks | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Seahawks | 51c | 48,524$24,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,776.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 56c | 46,957$26,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,787.07 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seahawks | 51c | 42,917$21,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,101.11 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Seahawks | 51c | 41,331$21,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,098.96 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…f19fbacked Patriots | 49c | 40,403$19,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,997.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Patriots | 9c | 36,310$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Seahawks | 50c | 35,000$17,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,450 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Seahawks | 51c | 34,804$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,053.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seahawks | 50c | 33,658$16,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,816.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seahawks | 78c | 33,342$26,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,276.57 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Seahawks | 51c | 32,098$16,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,728.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Patriots | 50c | 32,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…3eeebacked Seahawks | 51c | 31,341$15,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,357.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Seahawks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000.07 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Patriots | 49c | 29,093$14,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,255.66 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Seahawks | 51c | 28,751$14,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,212.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Patriots | 50c | 28,528$14,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,383.93 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Seahawks | 51c | 26,669$13,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,134.32 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots | 48c | 25,828$12,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,497.33 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Seahawks | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Seahawks | 50c | 21,909$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,954.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Seahawks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…94c5backed Patriots | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Seahawks | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Seahawks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Seahawks | 51c | 19,810$10,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,706.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…3c1bbacked Patriots | 0c | 19,640$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…bdb9backed Seahawks | 51c | 19,306$9,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,459.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Seahawks | 52c | 18,784$9,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,016.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Patriots | 50c | 18,346$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,173.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Seahawks | 50c | 16,593$8,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Seahawks | 50c | 15,825$7,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,914.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…95efbacked Patriots | 50c | 15,641$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seahawks | 50c | 15,536$7,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,804.88 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…0cdebacked Patriots | 51c | 15,506$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Seahawks | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Seahawks | 50c | 14,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Seahawks | 50c | 13,740$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Seahawks | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Patriots | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Patriots | 50c | 11,924$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Seahawks | 51c | 11,804$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Seahawks | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Seahawks | 51c | 11,618$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.65 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Seahawks | 50c | 10,670$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Seahawks | 49c | 10,397$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Seahawks | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Seahawks | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Seahawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Patriots | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Seahawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Seahawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Seahawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Patriots | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Patriots | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Seahawks | 51c | 9,869$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Seahawks | 51c | 9,808$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…cb38backed Seahawks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 49c | 9,673$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.47 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Seahawks | 50c | 9,295$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Patriots | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Patriots | 50c | 8,339$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…a929backed Seahawks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…2492backed Patriots | 50c | 7,996$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9611…8c12backed Seahawks | 51c | 7,978$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.