TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rashid Shaheed: First Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
No Touchdownof Rashid Shaheed, No Touchdown
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c3…301fbacked Rashid Shaheed6c1,667$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d3…466cbacked Rashid Shaheed10c953.59$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Rashid Shaheed6c833.33$50 inLost-$508130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…b9c3backed Rashid Shaheed7c357.14$25 inLost-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c0…09dcbacked Rashid Shaheed6c266.67$16 inLost-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+164.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Rashid Shaheed8c250$20 inLost-$207631.6%24 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa252…da2fbacked Rashid Shaheed6c250$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.