TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rhamondre Stevenson: First Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
No Touchdownof Rhamondre Stevenson, No Touchdown
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,677 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b88…5d08backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c2,273$250 inLost-$25018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9faf…778cbacked Rhamondre Stevenson10c2,078$200 inLost-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Rhamondre Stevenson10c1,200$120 inLost-$12018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c912.11$100 inLost-$10016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c909.09$100 inLost-$1008130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c544.74$60 inLost-$59.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c454.55$50 inLost-$5014951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c454.55$50 inLost-$503231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…a96dbacked Rhamondre Stevenson12c426.57$50 inLost-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rhamondre Stevenson8c296.23$24 inLost-$23.719651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…1a80backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c278.56$30 inLost-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x063c…7767backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c272.73$30 inLost-$302040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Rhamondre Stevenson10c250$25 inLost-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Rhamondre Stevenson11c227.27$25 inLost-$252040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9038…f74cbacked Rhamondre Stevenson10c200$20 inLost-$206139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c181.82$20 inLost-$2016243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6d…c17fbacked Rhamondre Stevenson11c181.82$20 inLost-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Rhamondre Stevenson11c150$17 inLost-$16.56521.5%14 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Rhamondre Stevenson11c100$11 inLost-$113253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd153…f9a3backed Rhamondre Stevenson20c100$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No Touchdown79c45$36 inWon+$9.4510346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.