TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbad4…acd7backed Yes62c64,000$39,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,679.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No38c38,993$14,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,175.829359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c22,874$8,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,286.3983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No38c19,384$7,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,924.129754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes61c6,950$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,221.5513756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes63c6,349$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked No40c5,565$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.333548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f94…0be7backed Yes59c5,363$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7656…6e7dbacked No41c5,189$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8e…6975backed Yes59c5,154$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0f…f4e1backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9b…2923backed No41c4,948$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes4c4,620$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccaf…0a29backed No41c3,040$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb3…da0fbacked Yes59c2,976$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f6…c914backed Yes59c2,953$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1050…0dd6backed No41c2,941$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c2,523$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.6423244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes62c2,187$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.123033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d1…9c40backed No41c2,129$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0e…619abacked Yes59c2,091$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x753b…5c2bbacked No41c2,078$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94b…be9bbacked Yes59c2,026$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed No40c1,867$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes63c1,759$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fa…2029backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383a…a920backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b4…c559backed Yes39c1,483$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed No67c1,311$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4334761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ca…0ff6backed No41c1,270$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c9…8407backed Yes59c1,249$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab1…3437backed No41c1,210$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc577…50a4backed Yes59c1,162$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No66c1,112$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6813065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No38c1,043$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.983625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No38c1,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6259855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b2…7431backed Yes44c912.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c831.81$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.988146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No38c790$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.83447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3b…1e7ebacked Yes63c775.78$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa522…9bdcbacked Yes63c725$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No38c722.5$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes61c719.02$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Yes2c633.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.674515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No38c578$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No36c544.26$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.324360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes63c514.29$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No54c507.14$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Yes62c500.07$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No37c452.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7817648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…c96cbacked No41c438.38$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes63c400$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2608…a299backed No41c363.72$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No38c361$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa006…6a1abacked Yes59c354.07$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…c134backed Yes37c330$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No63c316$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3412748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c19…ec4ebacked Yes59c278.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…12cbbacked No69c260.61$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.522142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes47c239.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.481030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No38c229.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2159453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5442…2f88backed Yes63c216.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes32c215.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4610731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f54…e40abacked Yes24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8598…49ebbacked Yes63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No53c193$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.719853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ce…6b46backed Yes52c171.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6d…cf4abacked No54c162.89$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dda…a4a3backed Yes63c159.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…f121backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc99…a6f9backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f95…30e6backed Yes63c158.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No37c151.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No38c151.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.651050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Yes63c150.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes32c133.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.065044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ca…adc9backed No38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No41c122.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.472638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…4418backed Yes62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Yes63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed No54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311048.2%53 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4628433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes41c97.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Yes53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb388…dc58backed No41c89.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No38c87.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.412850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f6…3d2ebacked Yes63c83.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.421154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb02d…f8cfbacked Yes61c81.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a72…03dabacked Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…0912backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.