TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3422…cd99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$101.77
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.87
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.76
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.08
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.56
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.86
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.44
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+146.4%+$265.01
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.54
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+45.1%+$41.1
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$168.1
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$122.35
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.65
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.62
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250.71
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.21
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Dakota Coyotes vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+41.4%+$6.55
Evansville Aces vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.7%+$18.96
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
Long Beach State Beach vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+67.5%+$156.27
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4.4
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.36
Chicago State Cougars vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$8.15
William & Mary Tribe vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.49
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+46.1%+$27.57
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.26
Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.84
Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojansbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racersbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+30.7%+$4.64
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.1%+$3.63
VCU Rams vs. Fordham Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.88
Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+109.3%+$34.09
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Thijs Boogaard vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+147%+$37.61
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.18
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Clara Tausonbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.3%+$27.33
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguetbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.33
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Arina Rodionovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.96
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+91.4%+$18.28
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+103.2%+$135.21
Open Sud de France: Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Dammbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.7%+$42.96
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+113.3%+$16.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+84.3%+$47.43
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$201
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+146%+$46.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$26.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39.9%+$6.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$64.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.