TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Trojansof Indiana Hoosiers, USC Trojans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana Hoosiers10c32,711$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.0769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed USC Trojans80c23,018$18,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Indiana Hoosiers20c22,789$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.8914940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Indiana Hoosiers1c12,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Indiana Hoosiers2c6,748$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.739543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers30c5,917$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.843,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Hoosiers3c5,728$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.572,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Indiana Hoosiers23c4,682$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.562,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Indiana Hoosiers55c4,572$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed USC Trojans47c4,268$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.369652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Indiana Hoosiers52c4,256$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.3374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana Hoosiers55c4,226$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.972,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked USC Trojans62c3,178$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Indiana Hoosiers51c2,219$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.271,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked USC Trojans48c2,123$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers52c2,111$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.6612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Indiana Hoosiers38c1,750$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.1112537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Indiana Hoosiers3c1,701$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed USC Trojans48c1,580$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.612646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Trojans47c1,494$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Indiana Hoosiers42c1,301$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.87451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed USC Trojans45c1,288$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.367245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana Hoosiers8c1,215$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.962,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed USC Trojans46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59455749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Hoosiers44c1,064$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.762,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Indiana Hoosiers54c1,009$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.0721149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers29c1,004$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Indiana Hoosiers54c999.94$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1ab3backed Indiana Hoosiers55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa22e…fe32backed USC Trojans45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed USC Trojans45c885$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked USC Trojans51c724.19$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.195253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…9bdcbacked USC Trojans51c719.66$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed USC Trojans62c645.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Indiana Hoosiers30c624$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked USC Trojans51c586$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Indiana Hoosiers52c581.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans78c549.6$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.393,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Indiana Hoosiers28c545.83$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.671,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Indiana Hoosiers52c498.72$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.781758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed USC Trojans50c485.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.561,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed USC Trojans47c476.92$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0431646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Indiana Hoosiers52c418.53$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans70c406.43$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.783,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Indiana Hoosiers9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed USC Trojans43c350.31$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed USC Trojans52c322.8$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Indiana Hoosiers56c321.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed USC Trojans50c306.8$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed USC Trojans66c289.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed USC Trojans47c285.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2510846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Indiana Hoosiers52c285.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked USC Trojans76c266$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7c…6d06backed Indiana Hoosiers4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Hoosiers9c238.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Indiana Hoosiers42c236.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed Indiana Hoosiers5c236.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Indiana Hoosiers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-66.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed USC Trojans46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3914244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Indiana Hoosiers48c214.79$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Trojans48c211.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.874,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed USC Trojans50c203.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.488055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed USC Trojans45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Indiana Hoosiers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked USC Trojans49c191$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4140252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Indiana Hoosiers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Indiana Hoosiers35c166.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Indiana Hoosiers7c161.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2719332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed USC Trojans62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked USC Trojans62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2918167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Indiana Hoosiers50c157.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Indiana Hoosiers40c135.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked USC Trojans53c132.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6410043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Indiana Hoosiers59c131.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.543333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked USC Trojans46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked USC Trojans46c124$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3643…8db3backed Indiana Hoosiers50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Indiana Hoosiers25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Indiana Hoosiers10c119.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Indiana Hoosiers55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed USC Trojans46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked USC Trojans60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked USC Trojans44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5627048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Indiana Hoosiers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Indiana Hoosiers20c98.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.484037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed USC Trojans64c94.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.621,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Indiana Hoosiers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked USC Trojans46c92.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3120254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbea4…0388backed Indiana Hoosiers50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa400…3b54backed USC Trojans50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2d…7950backed USC Trojans50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed USC Trojans47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.118953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…0bf5backed USC Trojans50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209c…13a8backed Indiana Hoosiers50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked USC Trojans57c79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9343450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed USC Trojans46c78.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2624649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e66…2d63backed USC Trojans50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774c…d063backed Indiana Hoosiers50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…0733backed USC Trojans65c75.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.732268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…9076backed USC Trojans50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.