TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb9d…c3ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10657.5%61 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.6
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.73
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.49
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.64
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$81.98
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55.37
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.63
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$178.56
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.7
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$65.52
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+153.2%+$182.79
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$37.35
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$16.93
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$350.17
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$37.21
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+525%+$363.16
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$200.57
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$34.32
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.4%+$199.06
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119.04
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+70.1%+$73.85
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.79
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.7%+$8.78
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112%+$18.17
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.28
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.3
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$24.32
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.06
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+106.5%+$16.68
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.91
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.85
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.49
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.13
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.38
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.67
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.67
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+106.9%+$16.42
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18.37
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.04
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.62
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$112.53
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.3
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$198.4
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+86.3%+$205.9
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$74.38
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+316.7%+$59.66
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$112.09
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+334.8%+$147.77
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$114.08
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+109.4%+$83.57
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+405.7%+$110.64
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.73
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$66.8
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108.12
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$218.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.72
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.7%+$32.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64.3%+$31.65
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$116.39
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.9%+$29.79
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+73.6%+$11.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.1%+$16.8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.2%+$8.76
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.8%+$3.46
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.12
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.08
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.94
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$27.04
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.1%+$17.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.46
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41%+$414.75
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$192.3
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$106.49
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.2%+$258.22
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+62.2%+$110.76
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.6%+$84.87
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.5%+$16.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+68%+$36.49
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.27
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.7%+$12.18
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.56
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.55
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.76
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+232.8%+$46.94
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66%+$46.62
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Szalay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.45
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.3
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-1.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$56.29
Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojansbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.79
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+27.3%+$12.51
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+45.9%+$18.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.77
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.3%+$44.45
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+106.8%+$27.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.