NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7970394fa50e3c159f71c1fed1fd558ff1ad40f134ae8ccf857382374b9c612f

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $294,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Wizards	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,399.97	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors	51c	38,843$19,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,775.65	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Raptors	51c	32,017$16,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,330	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	51c	23,597$12,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,034.47	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	50c	22,740$11,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,451.62	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards	49c	21,802$10,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,119.14	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors	51c	19,510$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Raptors	50c	18,857$9,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,494.83	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0134…12d2backed Wizards	49c	16,251$7,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,288.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors	50c	15,668$7,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,834	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors	51c	10,919$5,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,568.67	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Raptors	51c	10,886$5,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,551.86	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Wizards	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Wizards	49c	9,362$4,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,774.62	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,079.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards	51c	7,777$3,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,810.73	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards	52c	7,036$3,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,402.7	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bc…0eb7backed Wizards	50c	6,710$3,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,355	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	65c	6,083$3,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,157.3	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Wizards	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Wizards	49c	5,698$2,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,905.96	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Wizards	49c	5,578$2,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,844.55	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards	49c	5,327$2,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716.53	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Raptors	51c	5,006$2,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,544	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.95	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards	51c	4,960$2,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430.38	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	48c	4,692$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,439.49	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors	32c	3,946$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.43	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Raptors	56c	3,732$2,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,075.94	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Raptors	49c	3,527$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728.17	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab3…867cbacked Raptors	50c	3,500$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Raptors	51c	3,436$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.5	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Raptors	51c	3,200$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632	275	46.2%127 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x730c…cfb5backed Raptors	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors	51c	2,940$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.58	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	50c	2,795$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Raptors	49c	2,587$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.6	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards	49c	2,480$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,267.5	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wizards	48c	2,265$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.95	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Raptors	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Wizards	50c	1,930$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	49c	1,907$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.45	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors	49c	1,540$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Wizards	49c	1,524$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.24	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors	52c	1,500$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.3	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Raptors	51c	1,345$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	49c	1,327$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.53	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	48c	1,298$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.15	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	48c	1,149$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.04	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors	51c	1,069$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.67	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Raptors	49c	1,033$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.2	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Wizards	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.4	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Wizards	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Raptors	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Raptors	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	49c	923.42$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.65	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	48c	883.37$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.77	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Raptors	51c	875.35$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.43	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Wizards	50c	859.42$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.21	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards	49c	777.55$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.55	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Raptors	26c	759.04$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Wizards	50c	658$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Wizards	76c	621.05$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.02	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Wizards	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Raptors	31c	598.99$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.69	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Raptors	52c	577.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Raptors	51c	575.35$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.43	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Raptors	50c	540$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2621…641cbacked Wizards	50c	528$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fe…b752backed Raptors	50c	522$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…4310backed Raptors	50c	516$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	52c	515.02$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.7	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Wizards	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	49c	496.78$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.92	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a3…11d8backed Raptors	50c	494$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors	50c	491$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.52	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…fa42backed Raptors	50c	490$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f47…1e5dbacked Wizards	50c	484$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb298…64a9backed Raptors	50c	482$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards	48c	479.17$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.17	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c45…91c0backed Wizards	50c	476$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ca…34bfbacked Raptors	50c	466$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabe2…550bbacked Wizards	50c	464$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Raptors	25c	440.24$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a28…e020backed Raptors	50c	422$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75de…341ebacked Raptors	50c	410$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Wizards	49c	408.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.11	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Raptors	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…07f5backed Raptors	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e4…74fdbacked Raptors	50c	398$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…db56backed Wizards	50c	394$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	51c	392$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695e…47aebacked Wizards	50c	386$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…bf68backed Raptors	50c	386$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e9…2bffbacked Wizards	50c	386$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	48c	384.9$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.74	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Raptors (-13.5)this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Wizards won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Raptors vs. WizardsRaptors won
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Wizards won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event