TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,487 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards60c2,419$1,441 inWon+$978.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Raptors18c2,006$361 inLost-$361.256139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards60c1,918$1,141 inWon+$776.1848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce1…86afbacked Raptors79c1,265$999 inLost-$999.353542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Raptors35c360$127 inLost-$127.4410945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Wizards21c190$40 inWon+$150.114636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Wizards63c130$82 inWon+$48.15759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb9…fd83backed Wizards73c86.22$63 inWon+$23.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Wizards78c83.65$65 inWon+$18.437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards17c79.03$13 inWon+$65.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Wizards37c67.57$25 inWon+$42.5727248.5%132 W · 140 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Wizards52c67.31$35 inWon+$32.3111732.5%38 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Raptors39c67.3$26 inLost-$26.2545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards21c65$14 inWon+$51.3552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.