TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbb9…fd83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.33
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.34
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$329.61
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.6%+$721.81
Will Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$186.45
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.1%+$199.87
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37.6%+$91.21
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+45%+$99.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$35.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$23.28
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130.68
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$188.21
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$53.15
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.66
All 5 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.77
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$164.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.51
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+67.7%+$73.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.4%+$245.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.