TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf053…3939backed Yes50c12,790$6,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,335.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c7,273$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.331,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c6,244$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c5,229$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.651,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c3,875$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.081,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c2,942$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.343971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes25c2,859$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.231050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes29c2,684$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5817634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes73c2,683$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes31c2,592$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No58c2,362$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.621,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No37c2,218$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.1646943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes31c1,935$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c1,927$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.672,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No64c1,649$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.68062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6156066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,298$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf204…9c52backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No25c756.61$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No18c744.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c721$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c579.8$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes64c556.39$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.871181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes59c542.9$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No75c541.33$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98ce…8296backed No43c497.38$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c400.03$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.627833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c368.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1131…6181backed Yes25c354.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c350.51$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.621,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c327.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5812236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.586647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes25c314.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.633125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c308.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes31c300$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.522157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19313651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…1805backed No11c299.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes61c272$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd744…af4abacked No76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes31c251.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.244854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c242.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Yes53c241.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes26c220.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.432343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c220$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes56c214.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3610736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes59c211.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.545050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No60c210.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.996055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d6…8076backed Yes75c205.47$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes49c204.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.556240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3123220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No69c189.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0314128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ad…9636backed Yes25c183.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.85728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Yes26c181$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c181$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c172.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3720027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed No45c169.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No75c159$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.859235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes27c145.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0415461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No71c140.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.69641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3290…7043backed No76c136.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes77c130.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.378847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f6…c127backed No76c119.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…40fabacked Yes47c116.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3406…904dbacked Yes40c113.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed No50c111.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.531435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No31c110.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No23c106.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.215927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No70c105.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.15250%26 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fe…c658backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e73…119dbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5abfbacked No76c98.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.411,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c88.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0951516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No27c87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.886028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes29c85.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9845224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes78c81.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No25c80.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…2b47backed Yes78c80.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.