TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,152,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,346,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,152,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a1b…549ebacked Yes0c140,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes54c116,709$63,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,0239746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No46c75,268$34,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,644.863450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No46c66,402$30,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,857.0510057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c57,792$33,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,053.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No46c56,845$26,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,496.0811149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes25c51,614$12,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,848.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No47c44,217$20,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,434.846142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes49c33,532$16,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,321.816445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c32,408$17,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,1762,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes54c25,352$13,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,689.93339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc8…0fa2backed Yes53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No45c22,770$10,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,523.497753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No47c21,277$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.565655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No45c20,431$9,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,246.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b9…6d18backed Yes54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,800250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed No79c19,207$15,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.57966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes56c15,605$8,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,714.095034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c14,000$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,77024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No47c12,002$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,360.972941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c11,729$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.324,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes55c7,770$4,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,273.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2004148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No47c7,355$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.014553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No47c7,271$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes53c6,823$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.8185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.689350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes55c6,367$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c6,074$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.491,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No45c6,000$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.9515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c5,257$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.2575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c5,218$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6503060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No46c5,000$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.0550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No45c4,911$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.3116050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes54c4,822$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.9951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes55c4,444$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.172540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No45c4,400$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.951,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c4,381$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.5528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.924862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c3,944$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.731,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes40c3,704$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes55c3,640$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c3,472$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.271,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.489153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No44c3,000$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.752650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes41c3,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3630…8849backed No47c2,950$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.9115470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c2,670$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.7656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No47c2,559$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.25246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes54c2,525$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.57147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No47c2,298$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.8719239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes55c2,189$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2046229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes53c2,170$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1504052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.654755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Yes54c2,078$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce1…d753backed Yes55c2,058$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.112630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c2,013$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes49c2,000$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.4619729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.998343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9710751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.964944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No78c1,979$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.433545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No47c1,782$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.3515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes18c1,744$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8510053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No45c1,700$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.9831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes56c1,554$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.996145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes30c1,549$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes43c1,490$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1114128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes28c1,437$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes37c1,373$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked No48c1,339$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.041250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No53c1,302$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.943145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7a…11f6backed Yes54c1,271$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+132.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf3…24d7backed No46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…fbf6backed Yes55c1,150$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes22c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes53c1,130$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5835044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49c9…93fabacked Yes55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac40…cc9bbacked Yes54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes6c1,078$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.837833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf204…9c52backed Yes33c1,060$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…18e7backed No47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb23…73d6backed No46c1,050$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.