TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c12,646$9,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.731,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes3c7,233$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed No55c6,483$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.241855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c6,083$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes21c4,618$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.755446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked No79c4,532$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c4,045$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.8868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c3,890$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.11,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes1c3,695$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c3,541$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No77c3,289$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.3646943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c3,171$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.51,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes21c3,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes15c3,000$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No79c2,846$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2610159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes56c2,595$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.271566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes21c2,569$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.332821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c2,553$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c2,362$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.0596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes21c2,190$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes52c2,053$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.710053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No78c2,045$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes64c1,541$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9881947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31522534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c1,500$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,452$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No64c1,282$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.098153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bca…126ebacked No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes22c1,255$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2765518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c1,218$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes26c1,157$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c9…2498backed Yes36c1,143$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.15825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No79c1,057$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No79c1,030$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.382740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes21c987$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.271435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes20c986.71$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3415944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f63…57b9backed No79c905$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No39c899.82$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.98919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Yes21c898$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes18c854.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes21c842$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…4fc2backed Yes21c839.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes21c800$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No77c799.49$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.93473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Yes47c740.23$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No56c714.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.349344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No43c697.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.796136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c666.68$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes20c589.1$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes22c586.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes20c562.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.257138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No80c560$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c513.87$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.331,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes38c501$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes21c475.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No57c462.6$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed No55c461.91$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.862462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No55c454.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7924047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Yes49c407.09$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.253641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes50c400.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0845142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes24c395.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb314…9459backed Yes21c389.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes21c388.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes21c358.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes15c356.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.042,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes34c344$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Yes10c329.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes39c328$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6824146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c323$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.831,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14439651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x872c…6db0backed Yes21c299.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No76c280.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.951,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes46c278$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8911549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9af…d54abacked No79c273.86$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…0315backed Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes22c271.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7212236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8b…3070backed Yes48c263.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.891136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Yes48c262.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.173661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Yes46c247.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.933630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.