TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe271…1570

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.41
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.86
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$794.65
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$420
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.47
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$660.23
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.03
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.82
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.22
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.8
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.9
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$811.19
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$431.28
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.12
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$384.07
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+399.1%+$798.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$980
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$734.95
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,706
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.77
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,366.31
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.9
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.91
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed CF Cruz Azul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+305.1%+$753.12
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)backed FC Juárez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.98
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.33
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.91
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.73
Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55.08
Will AS Roma vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.