South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697219952a0c0b2bbcda27cf6e1c03510194b63dc9b1df5c2547d9adad0fd637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 25c | 6,070$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.65 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 3,247$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.45 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 1,435$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,233$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,209$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 1,146$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.54 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 850.39$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 679.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 66c | 466.06$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 427.16$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 61c | 360.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 345.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…493abacked Yes | 70c | 265.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 77c | 241.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed No | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 28c | 178.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 39c | 162.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 61c | 159$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 59c | 157.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 70c | 151.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 33c | 150.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Yes | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 144.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 30c | 131.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 78c | 106.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 87.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 51c | 87.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 60c | 70.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 70c | 54.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 40.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 42c | 34.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Yes | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 56c | 26.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…d83cbacked No | 62c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.