South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf452905f22f3c2737f63d0a9529aa495ff12842d5fab1e8d9c7f119e84840e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 4,343$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 989.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 556.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 20c | 255.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 72c | 204.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Yes | 30c | 163.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 29c | 116.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 69c | 104.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 47c | 76.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 67.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 70c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed No | 70c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.