Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38df8c8fa8b0c62c9ceebcbaf38ed14c6953381471218b566dc999420b0f6d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulham FCof Brentford FC, Fulham FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 15c | 4,207$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Brentford FC | 27c | 3,571$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fulham FC | 74c | 1,129$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fulham FC | 74c | 1,073$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brentford FC | 23c | 995.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Brentford FC | 26c | 986.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Fulham FC | 75c | 920.17$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Brentford FC | 27c | 711.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Fulham FC | 77c | 699.79$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Brentford FC | 12c | 470.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Brentford FC | 10c | 431.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fulham FC | 76c | 409.81$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Fulham FC | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Brentford FC | 26c | 363.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Brentford FC | 24c | 305.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Brentford FC | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Fulham FC | 77c | 253.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Fulham FC | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Fulham FC | 74c | 198.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Brentford FC | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Brentford FC | 25c | 187.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Fulham FC | 75c | 178$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Fulham FC | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fulham FC | 73c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Brentford FC | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Brentford FC | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Brentford FC | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Brentford FC | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brentford FC | 23c | 76.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Fulham FC | 74c | 73.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Brentford FC | 21c | 71.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Fulham FC | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Fulham FC | 76c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fulham FC | 74c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Fulham FC | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Fulham FC | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…1ecfbacked Fulham FC | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fulham FC | 79c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.