TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c13,332$7,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,390.566,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c10,163$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,222.112,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over80c8,897$7,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,097.952,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c6,079$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.263735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c4,827$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.495332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over80c3,608$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.18345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c2,937$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13675542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over37c2,528$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.3870%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c2,163$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.514,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c1,400$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.122,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over53c1,100$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5873545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c1,082$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over26c1,003$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.622532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Over80c989.96$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.314138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c899.55$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.641,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under19c786.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.179152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c685.35$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.511,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c663.89$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over14c528$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.488122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over36c401.68$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.395648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under20c379.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.211,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under19c362.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6680853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c350.87$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5617161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c344.51$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.76451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under52c325.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.896160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Over66c296.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c256.16$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.245271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over76c250.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d43…ae44backed Over32c239.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.661010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under19c205$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0510848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.722714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.066541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c181.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4369651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over79c174.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.772560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8109…6367backed Over33c174.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under20c168.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3329855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over12c165.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8928633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c123.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1740742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over39c120.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.44348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over55c115.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2810939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over61c104.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over28c103.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under34c102.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.044472.7%32 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c98.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7659645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd2…2f38backed Over26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over32c89.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.493638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Under19c87.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5710125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over80c85.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.761776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c84.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.855254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under23c82.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0311636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Under36c80.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2910454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over25c76.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.112647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e8…7628backed Over25c76.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over79c75.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.236358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over49c68.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8141160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over36c64.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under52c59.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.683551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under80c59.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under20c51.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3518961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over27c50.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over59c49.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.263865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over65c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over80c43.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.853056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under50c42.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.127166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4742862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under46c36.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8614258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b6d…e03bbacked Over60c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under80c29.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under46c26.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0124557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over80c24.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7618059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Over48c24.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c20.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8823556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.817759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26262.9%39 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over79c19.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.759355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Over80c19.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over79c15.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under76c13.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.319244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.