Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb929b84b6f41c346b4b9c7a4a13e1357ce0cdfbb6299edce554836909086e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 26c | 7,688$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.88 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 5,845$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.34 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 3,530$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 2,093$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 1,564$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 1,268$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 1,010$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Over | 32c | 960$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 941.57$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 829.71$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed Over | 37c | 811.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 64c | 538.26$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 486.55$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 35c | 444.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 433.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Over | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 63c | 249$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 65c | 231.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 33c | 143.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 64c | 126.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 32c | 122.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 111.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 104.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 65c | 82.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 68c | 73.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 70.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…9e7abacked Under | 68c | 70.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 65c | 66.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 75c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 33c | 59.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 36c | 57.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 64c | 56.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Under | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 68c | 52.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…9bc4backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 75c | 37.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 65c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 66c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 23.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 67c | 23.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 79c | 22.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Under | 76c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.