TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over57c98,342$55,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,571.2316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c29,146$13,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,425.696,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over60c24,456$14,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,638.7211445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c15,724$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,210.552,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over57c12,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.975658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under44c11,339$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,390.054841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c9,837$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,575.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under71c6,700$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c5,703$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c4,989$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.9414652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Under43c4,830$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c4,753$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c4,642$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.231,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c4,072$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.422,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under43c3,513$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.5612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under44c3,269$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.8310765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.953948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c2,959$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.513630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over56c2,857$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.118345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under49c2,460$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.769660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under45c2,060$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over54c1,942$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under43c1,914$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.859152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over56c1,739$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.67145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under42c1,474$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.272055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over28c1,344$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8514138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under43c1,320$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.1241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Under50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under44c1,164$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.797061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under43c1,100$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6278756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under42c1,000$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under43c965.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.518065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x135f…af8ebacked Under43c965.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under40c956.31$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8231849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under41c929.02$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.2322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50414355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under43c772.64$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.414354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under45c751.12$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7bd…19a9backed Over56c737.99$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under42c689.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.872466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under42c681.62$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over55c681.1$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.617250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c638.41$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c567.72$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8132345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c502.42$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.338851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over56c493.75$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd38e…e1abbacked Under46c483.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under42c482.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under42c482.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over55c456.82$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2511449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c448.78$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.941,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Over55c442.27$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.253444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.420545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.217959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over59c413.31$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under43c411.86$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.998757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over30c402.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.874738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under44c386.77$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c370$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.216858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c362$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.571,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under43c344.75$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.515657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under42c344.71$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…48babacked Under77c325.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under41c313.5$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.962231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c300.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.111,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c293.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Over33c288.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.581428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under39c279.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over56c260.79$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over55c236.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.335742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over55c234.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.248643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over57c225.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6316454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1235255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over51c209.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.846541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under41c201.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.954447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over58c200.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.