TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde05…1aba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.59
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$6.93
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.44
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.12
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.3
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.23
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.2
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.36
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,682.32
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$310.02
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$611.66
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$251.05
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$283.06
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$231.32
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$390.9
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.65
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$277.33
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$879.8
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$230.44
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.16
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$139.83
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,918Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$783.31
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.05
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.71
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$1,047.14
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$999.45
Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,046.91
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$246.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$998
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+62.8%+$1,293.81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$8,998.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,085.59
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29,593.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14,843Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$8,993.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$176.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,929.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.