La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38efd2de6065adbf71a84d8c5518babe386469c87590f7036236c2c382d6a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 40c | 90,747$36,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,098.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 45,053$27,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,895.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Under | 39c | 36,362$14,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,181.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 60c | 24,164$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,665.54 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 40c | 7,643$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Under | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 74c | 6,768$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.76 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 58c | 4,792$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.56 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 60c | 3,950$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 40c | 3,910$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Over | 61c | 3,687$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…bbf0backed Over | 61c | 3,650$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Over | 62c | 3,234$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 3,080$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 60c | 2,922$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.99 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 60c | 2,887$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.67 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 11c | 2,817$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 61c | 2,295$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.84 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 2,268$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 61c | 2,186$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 62c | 2,022$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.64 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 60c | 1,836$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 1,751$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 40c | 1,633$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 60c | 1,584$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.52 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 1,501$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 1,473$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.43 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 39c | 1,227$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.61 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…bc24backed Over | 61c | 1,213$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 1,163$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.57 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 61c | 1,128$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.12 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 988.81$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 60c | 949$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 62c | 893$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Over | 45c | 848.89$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 58c | 778.1$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 61c | 728.44$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 699.82$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Over | 64c | 684.45$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 63c | 675.64$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 60c | 619.24$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 61c | 606.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 48c | 602.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 61c | 565.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 560.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 60c | 500.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 57c | 460$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 43c | 446.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.53 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 45c | 445.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 77c | 437$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 46c | 431.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 36c | 414.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 402.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 360.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 335$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 22c | 331.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 62c | 330.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 62c | 322.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 61c | 314.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 57c | 294.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Over | 73c | 278.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 61c | 273.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 266.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 265.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Under | 40c | 252.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Over | 61c | 252.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 226$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…2ae0backed Over | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 219.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 46c | 218.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 60c | 208.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.