La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024be4d08d6cf401bb7241b6f2eb0e8a62611243096d89c6cab05279cc5a8dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 11,736$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 37c | 7,195$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…243ebacked Over | 63c | 5,839$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 20c | 5,560$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.26 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Under | 79c | 5,450$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 65c | 2,771$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 21c | 2,211$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.9 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Over | 20c | 2,201$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 24c | 2,018$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 1,973$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.29 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 36c | 1,830$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,644$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,600$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Under | 79c | 1,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 21c | 1,206$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 758.52$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 55c | 700$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 32c | 593.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.75 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 550.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.22 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 23c | 516.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.33 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 22c | 511.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 21c | 509.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 22c | 455.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.54 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Over | 20c | 429.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 80c | 399.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 21c | 399.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.96 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 19c | 384.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 22c | 379.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 36c | 344.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 78c | 310.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 15c | 241$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 64c | 235.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 64c | 230.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 21c | 230$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 14c | 222.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e36cbacked Over | 42c | 142.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 78c | 132.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Over | 66c | 132.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Under | 80c | 115.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…ce1ebacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 37c | 96.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…d79fbacked Over | 52c | 96.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 80.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 79c | 74.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed Over | 22c | 68.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…595cbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…24c3backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…fa06backed Under | 80c | 59.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 57.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 22c | 57.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Over | 66c | 51.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Over | 22c | 51.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 64c | 48.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Over | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…2a9bbacked Over | 39c | 42.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Over | 63c | 37.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.