TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,466 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c29,322$16,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,949.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over39c24,075$9,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,769.448756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under62c16,129$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c12,449$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.23,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under61c11,510$7,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.872152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over45c5,500$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0303100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over69c5,100$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.212161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under66c4,734$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.522755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c4,652$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.4250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under61c3,979$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.0515952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2a…243ebacked Over72c3,731$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under62c3,551$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.842955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c3,500$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.0110820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over76c3,457$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.5322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Over23c3,329$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+147.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over39c2,959$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.9720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over70c2,860$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under59c2,781$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.443040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over40c2,722$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.195152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over39c2,528$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.2111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c2,075$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Over68c1,983$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over76c1,744$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.712864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c1,735$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.361,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over42c1,731$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over39c1,359$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.120857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.792850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over29c1,289$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.123043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over38c1,280$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.8116149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over32c1,248$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.1310629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over40c1,245$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2211146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over39c1,145$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.4511333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under24c1,131$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.521,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over39c1,058$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c1,025$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over40c843.93$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Over36c832.22$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41312954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over39c661.54$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.548042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78d8…ebcebacked Over40c624.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c595.58$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.221,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.825343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over38c500.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under69c431.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Over75c411.18$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2487644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.623943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over41c380.42$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed Under62c370.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over44c331$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.365341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over67c299.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.965759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under63c280.04$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over68c249.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.963655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over69c246.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4219662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf73b…c326backed Over39c245.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d23…6c83backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7494…680dbacked Over42c240.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under60c233.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over39c225.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.641346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cd…26f0backed Over40c210.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over40c203.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over41c200.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5312470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15817455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over39c183.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.216238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under27c178.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under60c176.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.086464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Over39c175.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.982653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over26c175$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under59c164.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.726160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under62c161.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Under62c161.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f2…20eebacked Over40c153$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc24f…71a3backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over40c151.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8114850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under62c147.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.156056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4c…24c3backed Over42c143.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over70c137.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under68c132.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.963540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5817466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c130.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.511,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Over72c130.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5610440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9195backed Over39c130.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.73658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under48c127.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2213648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.