TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c0a…9104

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$188.32
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$195.25
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$164.35
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$274.42
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$174.46
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$163.61
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$38.38
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$292.87
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$165.08
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$80.56
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$63.91
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$236.5
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$47.66
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$601.26
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$192.41
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$606
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$252.54
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.51
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97.74
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$869.49
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$287.22
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.83
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Michalski vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.28
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$148.98
Set Handicap: Wong (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.26
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Jubb vs. Mrva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.33
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156
Kigali 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.54
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.85
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$74.8
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Rio Open: Vit Kopriva vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$146.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$862.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$311.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$603.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$309
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$93.96
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$54.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.07
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+79.1%+$22.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+116.8%+$215.93
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+86.6%+$98.61
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$104.46
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$208.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.66
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$7.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.67
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$140.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$48.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$115.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$83.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$177.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.