Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a281b037b265c02912648c265395e71b9513afb1b01c11fbab7bccbcfb126ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,007 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 80c | 62,400$49,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,900.45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 39,850$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,151.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 80c | 21,726$17,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,380.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 20c | 17,727$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,152.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 14,801$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,840.74 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 10,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.74 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 7,629$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.2 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 21c | 5,551$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 52c | 5,384$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.46 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 80c | 4,410$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,277$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 80c | 4,200$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 3,925$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.65 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 80c | 3,675$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 3,652$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Yes | 50c | 3,471$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 26c | 3,019$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,714$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 2,571$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.19 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 26c | 2,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.85 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 75c | 1,988$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 1,914$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.52 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 15c | 1,520$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,512$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.74 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 1,495$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 68c | 1,468$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 15c | 1,342$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,336$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.23 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,260$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 4c | 1,252$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +323.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,166$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.71 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 1,162$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 80c | 1,081$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 80c | 1,027$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.6 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 74c | 935$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 68c | 929.08$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 815.48$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.53 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 26c | 772.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 14c | 690.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 681.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 627$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 58c | 594.18$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 587.32$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.11 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 74c | 548.82$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 6c | 529.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 456.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 70c | 447.48$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 17c | 418.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.04 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 47c | 342.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 14c | 341.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 14c | 339.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 13c | 256.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 25c | 222.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 207.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 40c | 201.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…edd2backed Yes | 50c | 193.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…967bbacked Yes | 69c | 190.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 22c | 187.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 15c | 180.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…c52ebacked Yes | 52c | 179.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 59c | 172.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 26c | 172.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 16c | 167.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 21c | 167$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 156.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…6bb5backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 21c | 142$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 21c | 139$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 131$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed Yes | 21c | 129.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 17c | 125.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 47c | 124.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 23c | 112.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 14c | 106.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 34c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 94.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 25c | 92.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed No | 14c | 85.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 21c | 84.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 27c | 83.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 37c | 82.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 67c | 82.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.