Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0813604c1983ff930181e24bb69b067655c54a0f3c10e49a281064a1f0cf34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,203,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 64c | 200,000$127,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,499.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 64c | 78,501$49,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,996.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 37c | 78,324$28,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,733.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 63c | 76,542$48,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,221.56 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 71,658$20,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,130.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 47,534$17,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,017.37 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 37c | 43,794$16,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,590.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…28eebacked No | 37c | 41,600$15,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,207.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 63c | 39,000$24,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,569.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 30,856$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,690.92 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 37c | 28,664$10,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,153.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 28,283$20,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,536.57 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 22,172$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,899.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 20,971$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,316.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 63c | 20,652$12,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,945.63 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 36c | 18,888$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,088.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 17,330$6,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,012.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 17,158$10,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,790.82 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 64c | 12,608$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 36c | 12,514$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 11,880$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 7c | 11,659$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,786.75 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 37c | 10,880$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,854.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 10,530$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 7c | 9,302$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.39 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 64c | 9,063$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 36c | 8,972$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 8,795$6,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.18 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 8,715$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes | 63c | 8,672$5,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 8,160$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 37c | 8,050$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 62c | 8,036$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 7,502$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 63c | 7,250$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.5 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…f22bbacked No | 4c | 5,654$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 56c | 5,501$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.82 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 5,486$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.37 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 38c | 5,358$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,957$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Yes | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…46c9backed No | 36c | 4,760$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 24c | 4,636$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.95 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 4,423$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.23 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed No | 38c | 3,816$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Yes | 62c | 3,816$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 18c | 3,750$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.55 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 3,673$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.98 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 36c | 3,663$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 36c | 3,576$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 3,566$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.95 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 36c | 3,400$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 3,347$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.02 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 3,197$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.4 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 63c | 3,185$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 38c | 3,100$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 3,097$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.34 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…a16bbacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 37c | 2,880$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 37c | 2,872$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 36c | 2,784$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 37c | 2,600$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 36c | 2,550$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 38c | 2,355$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,329$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.29 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 38c | 2,213$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 64c | 2,070$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 36c | 2,014$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked No | 38c | 1,951$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 63c | 1,904$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 37c | 1,900$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.96 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 1,858$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 14c | 1,837$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 36c | 1,738$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 1,681$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.8 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 37c | 1,658$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.84 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 1,658$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.71 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 35c | 1,538$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 54c | 1,467$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 63c | 1,422$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 37c | 1,327$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 37c | 1,301$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.63 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.