TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37dc…85cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT5464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.61
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.26
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.01
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$77.01
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.74
Will Palantir reach $174 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.2
Will Tesla reach $420 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.74
Will Tesla reach $435 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$24.4
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.47
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5
Will Apple reach $272 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.29
Will Tesla reach $405 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.12
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Apple reach $264 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$26.05
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $340?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.13
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Will Amazon reach $232 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.22
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.65
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 30 above $149?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.76
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 30 above $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$400.25
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.25
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.02
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.71
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$80.4
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.27
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$408.96
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.62
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.15
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Will Solana reach $90 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.02
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.21
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$30.35
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.36
Will Solana reach $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will XRP reach $1.40 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Will XRP reach $1.40 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$132.95
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$46.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.1
Will XRP reach $1.70 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.84
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.91
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.92
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,172.09
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.16
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.16
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$56
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.49
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump sign 3 pieces of legislation into law in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.