NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c8d2d58b741998b3a0ffe11e21a8eaa7a36ecd1108e33ef52507057d0580b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Capitals, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $757,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Capitals | 51c | 321,141$162,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,615.18 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 50c | 249,236$123,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,857.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rangers | 49c | 61,224$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,224.49 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.89 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 51c | 31,921$16,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,279.49 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Rangers | 54c | 25,953$14,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,883.08 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 46c | 22,235$10,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,176 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Rangers | 51c | 21,389$10,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,480.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Capitals | 50c | 20,682$10,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440.88 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rangers | 48c | 11,999$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.53 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 50c | 10,913$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rangers | 50c | 10,012$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.66 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rangers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Rangers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 1c | 9,901$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Rangers | 50c | 9,797$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.17 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rangers | 49c | 8,766$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.66 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 0c | 7,484$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Rangers | 54c | 7,448$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 51c | 7,392$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers | 50c | 7,215$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.87 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 0c | 6,011$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Capitals | 54c | 5,570$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Rangers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 50c | 4,632$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.71 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Capitals | 48c | 4,531$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 50c | 4,201$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Rangers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Rangers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.9 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rangers | 65c | 3,782$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rangers | 49c | 3,300$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 58c | 3,094$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.62 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Rangers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Rangers | 49c | 2,941$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Rangers | 51c | 2,866$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Capitals | 51c | 2,570$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.6 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Rangers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Capitals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 25c | 2,422$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Rangers | 51c | 2,290$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.67 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rangers | 51c | 2,150$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.24 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Capitals | 41c | 2,129$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Rangers | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 49c | 2,090$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.71 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Rangers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.79 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Rangers | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Capitals | 49c | 1,890$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Rangers | 51c | 1,834$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.3 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 51c | 1,778$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rangers | 51c | 1,776$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.35 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,725$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.91 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Rangers | 50c | 1,700$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 77c | 1,677$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 67c | 1,660$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 76c | 1,454$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Capitals | 28c | 1,439$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.37 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Capitals | 10c | 1,411$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Capitals | 50c | 1,327$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.43 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Rangers | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Rangers | 50c | 1,241$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.54 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Rangers | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Capitals | 52c | 1,181$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Rangers | 51c | 1,145$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Capitals | 35c | 1,139$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 49c | 1,055$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.8 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rangers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Capitals | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Rangers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Rangers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…8c93backed Capitals | 1c | 998.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Capitals | 48c | 985.47$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Capitals | 20c | 980.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rangers | 50c | 872.76$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Capitals | 23c | 808.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Capitals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Rangers | 51c | 787.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Rangers | 51c | 754$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Capitals | 34c | 744.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rangers | 49c | 706.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.03 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Rangers | 50c | 663.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.97 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Capitals | 26c | 657.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Rangers | 49c | 654.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Rangersthis page
- Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.