TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,161,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,183,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blue Jackets50c217,219$108,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,341.3840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Red Wings50c100,793$50,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,667.7915054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets49c86,718$42,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,036.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings50c72,335$36,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,013.5648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings49c71,029$34,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,873.5612835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets50c66,124$32,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,295.667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets49c54,454$26,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,832.31,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings55c43,181$23,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,742.9527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…0d81backed Red Wings0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jackets47c33,333$15,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,666.4744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets55c24,719$13,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,223.9441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets47c23,390$11,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,358.8289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Red Wings70c22,258$15,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,532.11770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Red Wings50c19,860$9,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,93014553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Blue Jackets50c16,348$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,173.9911644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets38c13,135$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.312,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings50c11,695$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,874.681,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae9…c038backed Blue Jackets48c11,527$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,994.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings49c11,432$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.062,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Blue Jackets49c10,554$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.317258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Red Wings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Blue Jackets51c9,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.895276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings49c8,673$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25047951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jackets51c6,769$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.8175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2030…5e63backed Blue Jackets50c6,157$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Blue Jackets50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings50c4,571$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.4761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets50c4,388$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.5989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blue Jackets51c4,199$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.9733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets45c4,180$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.692,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Blue Jackets34c4,135$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.67047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Blue Jackets49c4,088$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.4610941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Red Wings51c3,547$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Blue Jackets61c3,360$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.2912654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets47c3,037$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blue Jackets50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Red Wings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Red Wings76c2,544$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Blue Jackets25c2,436$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.2410746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed Blue Jackets49c2,312$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.74546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Red Wings50c2,157$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Blue Jackets66c2,154$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blue Jackets49c2,115$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Blue Jackets49c2,111$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.7111153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blue Jackets21c2,074$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.0730259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blue Jackets45c2,050$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.391,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98083149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Red Wings51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0207354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings51c1,999$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.5720450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings51c1,999$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.5226750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Red Wings52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings47c1,857$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.411,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Blue Jackets50c1,794$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.124544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Jackets59c1,702$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.5492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Red Wings49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8338748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…70dbbacked Red Wings51c1,685$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.353056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1761959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Red Wings1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed Red Wings34c1,550$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets49c1,457$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Red Wings42c1,389$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9314062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Red Wings52c1,330$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Red Wings53c1,324$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed Red Wings55c1,240$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Red Wings42c1,221$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.747557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df1…6583backed Red Wings51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6121050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4920…2b87backed Red Wings51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Red Wings51c1,168$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.3113351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Red Wings42c1,161$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Blue Jackets50c1,161$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.324452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Red Wings42c1,159$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Red Wings42c1,146$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8519150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Blue Jackets51c1,088$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1212355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Blue Jackets45c1,050$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.516446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Red Wings49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Blue Jackets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab7e…9e98backed Blue Jackets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Blue Jackets35c1,000$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.2632653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Blue Jackets49c999.92$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9632150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Red Wings52c968.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Red Wings40c946$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2210947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Blue Jackets32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.529319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings49c915.87$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.121,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4b…3b2ebacked Blue Jackets50c898.86$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.433557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Red Wings49c868.32$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.6545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blue Jackets55c846.6$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5929448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed Blue Jackets49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Blue Jackets50c777.44$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.736349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Red Wings42c776$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.099231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Blue Jackets66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5816766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets28c751.87$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.7399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.