NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f22582dd514239952213ec17839b1bbc7276b0e61e9ebe14f2db7afbf2498ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 57c | 1,746$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 1,364$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.3 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,016$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 953.82$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 43c | 885$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.45 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 880.3$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 864.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 44c | 734$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.04 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 725.75$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 6c | 666$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…48bcbacked Under | 61c | 656.7$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 532$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 377.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 56c | 341.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 341.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 276$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 75c | 254.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Under | 13c | 192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 181.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 56c | 181.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 56c | 155$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 44c | 115.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 92.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 89.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…f4e8backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 80.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 80.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 76c | 70.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 27c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 43c | 56.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 67c | 52.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 50.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 43c | 48.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Under | 57c | 44.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…a345backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 44c | 24.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 62c | 20.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 76c | 20.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. Red WingsBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.