TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa76d…6a8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$34.93
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$18.78
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$19.52
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$17.7
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$122.59
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104%+$20.87
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+113%+$13.94
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.29
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$29.02
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.16
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$27.26
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.77
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132%+$16.4
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$64.78
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.55
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$18.58
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.92
Monza: Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royerbacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Madrid: Arantxa Rus vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.06
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Taggerbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Madrid: Whitney Osuigwe vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Campinas: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Santiago De La Fuentebacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$28.27
Madrid: Edas Butvilas vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$6.63
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Monza: Michele Ribecai vs Billy Harrisbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$19.39
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+218%+$44.73
Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$5.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$11.45
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$157.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$29.63
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.72
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.29
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$24.19
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$11.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$29.85
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$13.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$32.8
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+79%+$18.59
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$126.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$94.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.02
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$90.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$506.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.