TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c21,567$10,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,783.3941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c20,492$10,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,24651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e65…4994backed Under53c8,660$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.972544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,362$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.132,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Under51c2,110$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,712$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,588$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c1,422$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.182,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c1,363$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.72,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under68c1,191$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.149562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Under72c1,002$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.712356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c675.06$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.631,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under70c533$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.541,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked Under65c510.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over47c472.7$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.461,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Under53c457.23$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.92040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebf3…ce52backed Under57c439.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c422.65$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6442948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c384.96$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5719033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under53c377.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over8c350.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.992035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c281.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over49c281$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.697853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.382353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c228.38$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c204.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over29c204.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.882,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under53c189.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.385337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf66…6f24backed Under37c184.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over48c177$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.966346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over48c177$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.963452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c174$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5234752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over23c169$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.579141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c157$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c151.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…0730backed Under72c143.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over41c125.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.146930.4%21 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over48c103.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0833745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.684845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.684837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a7e…eab2backed Under45c89.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6526551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under51c80.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4733251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Over13c78.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.229047.8%43 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under55c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over48c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5212551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0415248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over65c72.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.137345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c70.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under52c68.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2538447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over32c68.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over60c68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1311551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under51c65.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.298644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under57c64.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6221463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5327659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under74c62.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.461,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over39c62.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.216341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Over41c58.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c57.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2645651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Under52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4965721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x85e6…454ebacked Over43c48.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2442254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under54c46.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a0…a889backed Under53c41.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28749.4%43 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633a…43e6backed Under56c36.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over47c35.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6d5…f2c6backed Over56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under55c34.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7751343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under53c34.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over39c31.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293129%9 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over38c31.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.946933.3%23 W · 46 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155060%30 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.442750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f48…b9abbacked Over58c28.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.731421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c28.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under51c27.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.278060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7576…eae2backed Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d2…dbd5backed Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…dfecbacked Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c8…4a0fbacked Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…92d9backed Over47c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ae…0ac2backed Over47c24.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f82…05bdbacked Over47c24.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x194d…333dbacked Over48c24.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde75…ea37backed Under53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…26eebacked Under53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.