TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Sharks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Sharks, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Blackhawks56c3,539$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.343450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Blackhawks62c2,629$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.886758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks62c2,596$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks38c2,544$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.611,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Sharks38c2,010$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.682839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Sharks38c1,834$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.8611058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks45c1,352$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.072,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blackhawks54c1,094$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.1132451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blackhawks51c712.25$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.241,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Sharks38c533.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5621036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Blackhawks56c515.36$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.612356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Sharks38c506.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5557238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks47c464.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.311,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Blackhawks63c464.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.73046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Blackhawks54c443.49$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks46c409.24$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks45c408.09$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks37c406.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Blackhawks48c403.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.013141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Sharks38c385.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4415145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks41c372.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.342,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Blackhawks62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11427049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks62c295.36$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks61c293.81$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.313,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Sharks42c280.16$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.442254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks55c256.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.91,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2839343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blackhawks71c249.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89aa…a254backed Sharks40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Sharks33c218.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.191,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sharks44c208.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.431540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf66…6f24backed Sharks38c207.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Blackhawks62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7615265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks40c197.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.871,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Blackhawks62c196.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.326930.4%21 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Sharks31c192.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.627334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks62c189.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8781157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sharks45c186.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.831,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blackhawks51c159.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks60c157.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.782,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Blackhawks52c153.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.22138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Blackhawks63c130.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1236349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Sharks38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sharks38c116.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Sharks45c101.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Sharks41c101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3229553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Blackhawks46c100.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5229533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Sharks37c82.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.318548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Sharks58c67.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.782035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Blackhawks61c66.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9323063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Blackhawks53c63.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7812763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Blackhawks53c63.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6917456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe31…6573backed Sharks38c57.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6621042.4%89 W · 121 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Blackhawks63c55.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7960449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Blackhawks63c54.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.140162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sharks45c51.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2947024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Sharks39c49.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.279054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sharks45c48.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.812,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Sharks51c45.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sharks37c42.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Blackhawks57c41.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8219254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633a…43e6backed Sharks54c37.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sharks48c37.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.935551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf294…8ce1backed Sharks55c36.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc741…73f6backed Sharks47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Blackhawks57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb8…3537backed Blackhawks52c33.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks63c32.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0669061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Blackhawks47c32.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3310260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Blackhawks40c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1113552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Blackhawks62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9816959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Blackhawks63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4922763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks47c30.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Sharks58c29.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.886341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Sharks46c28.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Blackhawks58c23.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8921463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Blackhawks62c23.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.869156%51 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6137…171ebacked Blackhawks63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.616163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Blackhawks46c23.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Sharks49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blackhawks63c21.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0436561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571d…a673backed Blackhawks79c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Sharks59c17.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454650%23 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.