TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb32d…c4b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$54.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$99.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.06
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.51
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$38.52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.79
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$25.28
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$90.48
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+54%+$29.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36.56
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sunbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$139.97
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$810.3
Jiujiang: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$743.16
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.19
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$123.67
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$128
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$108
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.62
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$27.92
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$474.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$164.11
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$133.69
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$129
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$67.27
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.19
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.61
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.71
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+225.6%+$264.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+532.9%+$186.52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.7%+$149.46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.4%+$106.04
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$460.26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$63.95
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74.1%+$102.21
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+307.5%+$178.34
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$298.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$176.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+83.3%+$150
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$125.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.04
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$316.94
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.8
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultansbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$254
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$187.45
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$10.23
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.47
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.09
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.1%+$25.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$348
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.