Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd92a133f5d1910de521a482f54035fa339ce18a6e21f8f6cf16e476e0777d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 19c | 4,210$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 4,008$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 17c | 3,750$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,180$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 2,890$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 2,487$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.06 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,944$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 44c | 1,873$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.85 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,813$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,724$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,624$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 1,541$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 21c | 1,412$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 17c | 1,392$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 14c | 1,150$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Yes | 4c | 1,083$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,034$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 24c | 999.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed Yes | 59c | 970.86$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 12c | 800$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 20c | 620$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 9c | 500.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 47c | 424.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 20c | 385$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 358.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 71c | 328.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 20c | 309.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 269.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed Yes | 21c | 262.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 244$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 31c | 241.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 51c | 241.72$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 226.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 220.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 75c | 213.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 8c | 209.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 59c | 193.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 173.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 9c | 158$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 20c | 150.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 140.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 17c | 137.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 136.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…b1febacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…ee25backed Yes | 19c | 133.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 9c | 129.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed No | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 20c | 123.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 8c | 123.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…021dbacked Yes | 55c | 91.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 76c | 78.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed No | 26c | 74.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 71.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 80c | 61.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 59.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Yes | 70c | 51.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 20c | 50.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…8ee7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 37c | 47.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…c8e5backed No | 35c | 34.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…76ddbacked Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 30.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…a2dbbacked No | 36c | 27.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.