Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ea3c5d4f27e00067bd0ae54f94d89e0ca7fcfa3b6e9372610441d909da1a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 44c | 63,903$28,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,785.47 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 39,940$22,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,608.32 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 27,300$15,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,288 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 26,885$14,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075.41 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 24,841$10,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,910.8 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 19,947$8,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,353.58 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 15,275$8,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.57 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 56c | 13,623$7,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,660.71 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 55c | 10,246$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…0a1abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 43c | 8,747$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 8,700$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 44c | 7,750$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 7,155$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.09 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 7,040$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 59c | 6,768$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 56c | 5,417$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.52 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 56c | 4,901$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.29 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 4,867$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.74 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 42c | 4,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 58c | 4,200$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 4,032$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 3,850$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…5d8dbacked No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 43c | 3,252$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 3,069$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 2,823$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.4 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 2,715$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.93 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 57c | 2,477$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,368$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 43c | 2,355$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 48c | 2,291$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 44c | 2,290$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 62c | 2,205$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.42 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 2,014$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 43c | 2,001$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.56 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…cfd8backed Yes | 56c | 1,976$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,818$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.89 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…99edbacked No | 44c | 1,636$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,158$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 39c | 1,145$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.45 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 41c | 978.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 965.91$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.54 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 55c | 901.88$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 56c | 895$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 874.57$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 56c | 867.98$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…d8b2backed Yes | 56c | 821.43$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 49c | 821$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…4e15backed No | 45c | 720$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 56c | 712$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…91b9backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…3dc3backed Yes | 56c | 690$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…d6d1backed No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 49c | 661.11$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 57c | 593.01$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 576.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 559.65$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…a5d7backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 57c | 529.61$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 43c | 512$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 44c | 454.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 47c | 428.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…98a7backed Yes | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Yes | 58c | 397.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 51c | 388.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 56c | 383.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 60c | 371.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 55c | 362.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…3152backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed Yes | 58c | 342.43$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…6a86backed No | 44c | 339.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.