Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2000d93751b951cc806af452f9bd5a4789f84ec03c06bdf9a013c427040092bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 7,999$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.3 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 4,821$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 4,721$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.79 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 24c | 4,342$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 76c | 3,508$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 3,261$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.11 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 2,829$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.41 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 2,710$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 2,361$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.36 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 43c | 1,780$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.83 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,639$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 1,604$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.24 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…2881backed Yes | 23c | 1,080$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 15c | 987.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 25c | 787.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 24c | 745.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 78c | 639.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 544.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 424.31$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Yes | 78c | 417.77$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 32c | 313.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…b1febacked Yes | 52c | 251.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 24c | 205$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…5da3backed Yes | 44c | 190.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 68c | 184.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 24c | 143.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 135.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…fff8backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 118.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 67c | 109.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 22c | 108.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 64c | 95.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 71c | 91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 23c | 90.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 11c | 88.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 77c | 85.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 54c | 71.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 46c | 65.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 77c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 55.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 45.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 79c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 76c | 32.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Yes | 75c | 27.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 65c | 26.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…6375backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e6…cc7fbacked Yes | 79c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.