TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb700…b06b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$236
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$209.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$566
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203%+$507.58
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$357
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$501.18
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$272.45
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$97.71
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$450.46
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$258.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$632
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$988.51
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$663
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$332.4
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$544.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$238
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$374.02
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$227.38
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$410.33
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$308.37
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.87
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$249.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$541.67
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$324.69
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+153.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$811.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$299.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.