Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0730131f8d77a06252020239d3c34d7c339b13aa3d73ceec60810af922dccd08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 6,961$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.24 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 69c | 4,052$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.05 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,321$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 64c | 2,789$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.96 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 29c | 2,758$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.82 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 2,481$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.05 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,099$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.9 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 35c | 1,050$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 30c | 975.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 36c | 924.65$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 900.33$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 674.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 627.02$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 34c | 588.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 29c | 428.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 339.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 246$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 246$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 36c | 221.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 219.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 137.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 64c | 135.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes | 36c | 123.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 120.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 66c | 119.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…237dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 95.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed Yes | 17c | 93.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 70c | 86.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 68c | 73.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 65c | 69.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 66.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 49.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 48.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 48.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 41c | 35.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 34.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 70c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…cf96backed No | 71c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.