TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No58c267,843$155,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,111.1915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes42c104,531$43,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,627.9812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes42c84,741$35,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,312.245250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes42c26,132$10,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,156.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c22,189$9,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,608.531,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c11,180$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.133,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes42c8,101$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.718845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes42c8,000$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6602650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes34c6,664$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No2c4,840$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c3,875$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.8577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c3,700$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14115341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0301172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes42c2,481$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.587334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c2,198$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.679151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes42c1,904$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.3213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes30c1,818$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No24c1,023$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8318967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c966.24$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.7237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c881.83$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes43c812$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.583145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes42c753$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.744252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes80c626.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.065232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3486155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes41c561.12$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.922665.4%17 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+92.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No35c548.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.58560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c528.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No6c391.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3226345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes36c289.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No59c287.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.423426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes76c264.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.552161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes74c249.66$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes69c194.76$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8219847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No55c161.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes45c155.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.671,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c121.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No63c111.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No20c96.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2837138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes43c90.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes43c85.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes43c84.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.34259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…cf96backed Yes43c83.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Yes74c80.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes75c77.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No56c72.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.814459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes43c72.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.093426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.433948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Yes44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c62.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9926346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c60.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.851735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c49.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked No67c45.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Yes38c44.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes74c43.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes43c43.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.495251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes42c41.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1425934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Yes43c39.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes70c39.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…8da5backed No56c39.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9520641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked No65c37.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Yes43c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.092060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x275a…4d33backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.852560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes43c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3825149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Yes43c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c32.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3124920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes43c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.248836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes43c31.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Yes43c30.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes40c29.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…aef1backed Yes43c25.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Yes43c24.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed No57c18.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.