TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,090,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,135,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,090,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae87…c735backed No56c650,588$364,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,377.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes43c130,409$56,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,332.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+103.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes44c108,177$47,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,822.8110553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked No53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,999.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes44c80,000$35,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,8004854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c69,292$32,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,612.9275142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c65,340$30,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,207.0669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes45c64,140$28,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,286.6817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c59,195$26,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,280.721,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c59,192$32,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,801.713,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c41,475$19,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,356.2838748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Yes47c40,458$19,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,442.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Yes44c32,182$14,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,021.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…ccdbbacked No52c23,105$12,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,014.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes43c22,500$9,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8251942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes43c18,888$8,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,766.163063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+50.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No53c17,003$9,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,011.746251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No4c12,875$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.415455.6%30 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c11,541$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.6356547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No53c9,972$5,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,285.164456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No53c9,471$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.628037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes43c9,178$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,231.1953645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2408752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No53c7,999$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.7233244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.181947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c6,815$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.133945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c6,733$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.515851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes45c6,591$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3605653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes47c6,000$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.9911354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c5,721$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.352,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes43c4,057$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.496058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1605461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes47c3,625$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.322047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No54c3,355$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes47c3,333$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.494351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes47c3,200$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6961650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No52c2,859$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No2c2,408$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.343520%7 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c2,302$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.011,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes46c2,297$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.2918545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7314157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes46c2,025$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.530054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9882661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes45c1,517$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c1,488$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4656951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.572934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c1,422$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.71,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c1,373$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4862452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5947639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes47c1,085$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No52c988.51$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.335856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes47c980$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes49c950$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41616850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes75c733.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3338055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes71c679.8$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c643.73$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7434547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes66c603.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.054544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes47c591.02$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2455058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c582.89$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9719347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc43…ce91backed No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c519.85$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7940744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes44c505.05$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.833565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4828241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Yes44c472.2$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes49c453.06$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.065848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes45c447.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.133050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes48c439.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.915829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes46c421.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2812064.2%77 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.676159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes71c415$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.742050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No8c371.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7330647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No15c335.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes52c331.78$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.981732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No17c331.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.036936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes46c328.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.54753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes49c314.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.298959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed No52c312.46$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.519446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16513129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Yes46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1687847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes49c263.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.276845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No53c254.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0816045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Yes45c245.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.823268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…6000backed No52c240.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes42c239.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.11837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.