TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c10,939$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.6975142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c9,521$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.533,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No72c7,632$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.875549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No71c6,901$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes4c5,592$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c5,250$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.4269851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No80c4,710$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.08580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No72c3,889$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes27c2,957$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.4611354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.992948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c1,734$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.021,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,494$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c1,485$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.682955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No68c1,479$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.566167.2%41 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c1,430$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.730054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes29c1,141$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c751.95$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107758.4%45 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No78c721.1$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c507.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.231,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes24c453$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.728630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c433$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9249143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes7c413.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.546936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No71c327.27$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.911770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes29c231$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c229$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1234342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c226$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298517.6%15 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c206.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8514934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked No69c202.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5656547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c176.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No76c166$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.952065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes18c157.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c150.29$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes14c143.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a0…c6d3backed No69c142.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes30c140.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No72c139.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No71c122.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.576100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes29c110.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.961643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2338845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3533945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes28c77.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977c…8c15backed Yes29c73.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.361764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4237344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442763%17 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes28c68.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3110244.1%45 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes30c65.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.635038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes30c65.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9219446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c61.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6630647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb53f…4edebacked Yes28c60.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes29c56.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2812064.2%77 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked Yes28c53.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410258.8%60 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1f…b12cbacked No72c45.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c37.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No71c32.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4518353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No68c30.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5410051%51 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.76462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571850%9 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x870c…b899backed No72c27.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fe…95e3backed No72c23.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3a2…f3f9backed No73c20.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8e88backed No73c19.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a05…5e25backed No77c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed79…4f5dbacked No73c18.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d9…bdd5backed No72c16.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed No71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3a…e16abacked No73c15.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23770.3%26 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7178…4052backed No72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.