Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbea4300bac36475b0505b0e3952703c3fcd705a621b5b56ddbe4d200c905ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 14,633$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.32 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 76c | 6,580$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.2 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 23c | 5,652$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 76c | 4,830$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 3c | 3,124$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 2,557$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 2,302$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,225$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,839$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 1,731$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 1,679$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.73 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,554$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,228$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 850.99$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 611.62$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 22c | 398$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 25c | 263.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…87e8backed No | 75c | 244.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 76c | 159.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 158$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 24c | 136.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…af92backed No | 76c | 110.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…e6aebacked Yes | 24c | 103.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 76c | 102.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…cb26backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 24c | 96.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 81.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 24c | 77.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 72.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…e0dcbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 77c | 66.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 60.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 52.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 26c | 51.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 77c | 39.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…35dfbacked No | 78c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked No | 78c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.