TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7b4…96a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 60 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$31.26
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.77
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+54%+$9.62
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.06
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+84.5%+$14.96
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+305.2%+$127.21
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF América end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.3%+$55.38
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+129.2%+$15.35
Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.17
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.48
CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.42
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+121%+$38.97
Will Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.93
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.4%+$19.71
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+39.2%+$6.22
New Delhi: Karan Singh vs Daniel Michalskibacked Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.53
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33%+$10.47
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Gabriela Ruse vs Emma Navarrobacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.41
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinkobacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+27.9%+$7.96
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Gabriela Rusebacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.66
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Varvara Grachevabacked Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.47
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+59.6%+$14.49
Dallas Open: Ethan Quinn vs Marin Cilicbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.26
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+276.6%+$125.05
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)backed Moreirense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)backed Rio Ave FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.77
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.19
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40.59
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.1%+$2.71
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+295.3%+$29.53
Will FC København win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.2%+$8.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$76.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$93.06
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick24cpaid+211.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+94.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+463.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.