TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Ethan Quinn vs Marin Cilic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cilicof Quinn, Cilic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Quinn38c20,861$7,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,982.9411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Cilic64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400.4467249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Cilic57c12,500$7,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,374.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Cilic60c7,688$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.6294355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cilic66c6,224$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.341,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Quinn35c6,159$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.4981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Quinn38c4,385$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.0676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Quinn1c4,240$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cilic59c4,225$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.0321147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cilic73c3,973$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.668,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cilic57c3,878$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Quinn38c3,608$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.5625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cilic63c3,158$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.352,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Quinn37c2,450$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.58640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Quinn38c2,337$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.342,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Cilic63c2,335$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.975156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cilic64c2,312$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.423,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Cilic80c2,303$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.51,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Quinn14c2,084$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Cilic57c1,778$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8420653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Quinn39c1,751$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.272,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cilic62c1,645$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cilic71c1,157$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cilic69c1,126$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.951,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Quinn45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Cilic56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3965658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cilic61c823.23$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0678452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Cilic64c797.34$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Quinn39c699.67$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8754547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Quinn27c677.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Quinn39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Cilic61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Cilic60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Quinn21c481.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2513652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Cilic66c426$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7225542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cilic62c417$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Quinn38c348.84$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5665840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cilic65c327.67$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Cilic62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5827154.2%147 W · 124 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Cilic56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13216133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Quinn22c272.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Quinn36c269.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.094,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Cilic57c263.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3618957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cilic61c263.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Quinn41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cilic59c243.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Quinn7c239.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5933326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Cilic62c224.19$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Quinn38c218.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.226,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Cilic61c213.94$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.711347.8%54 W · 59 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Cilic68c205.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.528262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Cilic57c192.16$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6358859%347 W · 241 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Quinn38c186$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.681,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Cilic61c179.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.991,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cilic63c176.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.451,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Cilic57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4418858%109 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Quinn41c174.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.661,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Quinn37c169.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6438652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Cilic61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Cilic61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Cilic61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9322953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa9…a9bebacked Cilic63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Quinn44c137.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Cilic64c129.02$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cilic59c126.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8631753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Quinn38c119.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.614332.9%47 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Cilic63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0514860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Quinn35c110.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6517933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Quinn33c106$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Quinn39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Quinn39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Cilic56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Quinn40c99.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Quinn41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2139backed Cilic62c96.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.334753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Cilic63c95.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.951,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cilic74c93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.091,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Cilic63c93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.122564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Quinn39c90.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7113138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Cilic60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3658753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Quinn25c86.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Quinn38c83.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.914456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Cilic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9726050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Quinn39c81.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.434242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Quinn39c81.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Cilic61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c14…f78cbacked Cilic63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…a60fbacked Cilic63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.379460.6%57 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Cilic63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.378065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Quinn42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc1a…9359backed Quinn39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910336.9%38 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Cilic58c71.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0111653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Quinn38c71.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.132,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb6…d200backed Quinn43c66.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Quinn34c65.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Cilic63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0543242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cilic66c62.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Quinn35c60.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Quinn44c60.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Quinn41c59.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.266327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.