TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64e5…292f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST3847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.34
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$22.48
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
Vít Krejčí: Points O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.24
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.52
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.3%+$10.93
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$8.6
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$177.12
Spread: Suns (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.05
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$8.71
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.74
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$236.68
Dallas Open: Ethan Quinn vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+57.9%+$34.12
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+135%+$143.41
Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+77.9%+$174.12
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+59.2%+$167.7
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+111%+$114.68
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osoriobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$92.84
Qatar Total Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkaribacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$118.14
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82.14
Qatar Total Open: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$63.61
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+67.1%+$59.54
Qatar Total Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$75.03
Qatar Total Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$118.18
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+270.5%+$159.95
Argentina Open: Lautaro Midon vs Pedro Martinezbacked Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.28
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Argentina Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Hugo Dellienbacked Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+97.4%+$115.28
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.16
Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norriebacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.13
Dallas Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Tristan Boyerbacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.52
Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midonbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58.85
Qatar Total Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$48.04
Qatar Total Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.22
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$177.48
Will Real Zaragoza vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+203%+$79.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$118.32
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Sygula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$78.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.